{"id":136422,"date":"2021-09-08T12:23:44","date_gmt":"2021-09-08T09:23:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=136422"},"modified":"2021-09-08T12:23:48","modified_gmt":"2021-09-08T09:23:48","slug":"tcmb-baskani-kavcioglu-turkiye-belirgin-reel-faiz-veren-ulkelerin-basinda-gelmektedir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/tcmb-baskani-kavcioglu-turkiye-belirgin-reel-faiz-veren-ulkelerin-basinda-gelmektedir","title":{"rendered":"TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kavc\u0131o\u011flu: “T\u00fcrkiye Belirgin Reel Faiz Veren \u00dclkelerin Ba\u015f\u0131nda Gelmektedir”"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “T\u00fcrkiye belirgin reel faiz veren \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelmektedir” dedi.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof. Dr. \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, Alman-T\u00fcrk Ticaret ve Sanayi Odas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan “Para Politikas\u0131, Enflasyon ve Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda d\u00fczenlenen hibrit toplant\u0131da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki son d\u00f6nem geli\u015fmelerini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AB’nin, T\u00fcrkiye’nin en \u00f6nemli ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda geldi\u011fini belirten Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 55’ini, ithalat\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 50’sini AB \u00fclkelerinin olu\u015fturdu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, Almanya’n\u0131n ise en fazla ihracat yap\u0131lan \u00fclke oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, “Son d\u00f6nemde salg\u0131n\u0131n etkileriyle azalmakla birlikte yabanc\u0131 ziyaret\u00e7ilerimizin de \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc AB \u00fclkelerinden. Do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda da Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 60’lar civar\u0131nda. Bu nedenle bu toplant\u0131ya kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 ve burada olu\u015facak kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f al\u0131\u015fveri\u015fi ortam\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli buldu\u011fumu ifade etmek isterim.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00fcnya genelinde a\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonomide toparlanma s\u00fcrecini destekledi\u011fini ifade eden Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“D\u00fcnya ekonomisine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, imalat sanayine k\u0131yasla salg\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalardan daha fazla etkilenmi\u015fti. Son d\u00f6nemdeki Sat\u0131nalma Y\u00f6neticileri Endeksi (PMI) verileri, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn de imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde halihaz\u0131rda devam eden toparlanmaya e\u015flik etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu durum, k\u00fcresel ekonomide talep kompozisyonu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha dengeli bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekliyor. Ba\u015fta salg\u0131n\u0131n daha olumsuz etkiledi\u011fi Avro B\u00f6lgesi olmak \u00fczere, hizmetler PMI endekslerindeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015flar k\u00fcresel ekonominin genele yay\u0131lan bir toparlanma e\u011filimi sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ba\u015fl\u0131ca ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u011fustosta nisan ay\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. Bu geli\u015fmeler, ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n gelirlerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla T\u00fcrkiye’nin d\u0131\u015f talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn iyile\u015fti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor. Ticaret ortaklar\u0131m\u0131zdaki bu toparlanma, ihracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131na katk\u0131 veren olumlu bir geli\u015fme.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde \u00fclkelerin do\u011frudan kamu harcamalar\u0131, di\u011fer finansal destekler ve te\u015fviklerle ekonomilerini destekledi\u011fini an\u0131msatarak, baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde mali alan\u0131n durumuna g\u00f6re do\u011frudan kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n, baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde ise sermaye, kredi ve di\u011fer likidite desteklerinin kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde milli gelirin y\u00fczde 20’sini a\u015fan kamu destekleri verildi\u011fini belirten Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “\u00d6rne\u011fin, ABD’de milli gelirin y\u00fczde 25’i oran\u0131nda kamu harcamas\u0131 ve vazge\u00e7ilen gelirler \u015feklinde ekonominin desteklendi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130talya ve Almanya gibi baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra sermaye, kredi ve di\u011fer likidite \u015feklindeki desteklerin kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde ise geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmakla birlikte ekonomilerin \u00e7e\u015fitli tedbirlerle desteklendi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“T\u00fcrkiye, 2021 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana belirgin reel faiz veren nadir \u00fclkelerden biri”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, T\u00fcrkiye’nin; destekleyici para, maliye ve finansal politikalar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra a\u015f\u0131lama programlar\u0131nda ilerleme kaydeden ve salg\u0131n\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na almakta daha ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olan ekonomiler aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bu durumun, \u00fcretim, yat\u0131r\u0131m ve istihdama olumlu yans\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gelinen noktada, temel baz\u0131 makroekonomik de\u011fi\u015fkenler kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmal\u0131 olarak incelendi\u011finde, \u00fclkelerin ekonomi ve toplum sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair politikalar\u0131n\u0131n daha iyi \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini vurgulayan Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde enflasyon, rezervler ve risk primi konular\u0131nda iyile\u015fme alan\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Di\u011fer taraftan, T\u00fcrkiye emsal \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re daha erken ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma sonucu 2021 ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana belirgin reel faiz veren nadir \u00fclkelerden biri oldu. Cari dengedeki iyile\u015fmeye ek olarak, enflasyon ve rezerv birikimi konusundaki \u00e7abalar\u0131m\u0131zda a\u015fama kaydettik\u00e7e bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini etkileyen risk priminde de iyile\u015fme s\u00fcreci devam edecektir. Ayr\u0131ca, bor\u00e7 istatistiklerinin derlenmesine ili\u015fkin son \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n etkileriyle May\u0131s 2021 itibar\u0131yla k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 25,7 milyar dolar azalarak 144,9 milyar dolardan 119,2 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu durum, d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 g\u00f6stergelerimize de olumlu yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin baz\u0131lar\u0131nda y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7, bir\u00e7o\u011funda ise y\u00fcksek b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, risk primi ve politika faizlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde seyretti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Salg\u0131n d\u00f6neminde uygulanan mali, parasal ve finansal politikalar ile salg\u0131n\u0131n hanehalk\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkileri nedeniyle bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede bor\u00e7luluk oranlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015flar meydana geldi\u011fini belirten Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “K\u00fcresel olarak 289 trilyon dolara ula\u015fan bor\u00e7, d\u00fcnya gelirinin y\u00fczde 360’\u0131n\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde gerek kamu gerekse \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r bor\u00e7lulu\u011funa ili\u015fkin geli\u015fmeler t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcndeme gelecek. Bu kapsamda, ekonomideki farkl\u0131 kesimlerin bor\u00e7luluk durumuna bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda kamu ve hanehalk\u0131 bor\u00e7lulu\u011funda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerin olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek bir bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye’nin bor\u00e7luluk anlam\u0131nda geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerden t\u00fcm kategorilerde belirgin \u015fekilde olumlu ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla T\u00fcrkiye’nin durumuna bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda kamu ve hanehalk\u0131 bor\u00e7lulu\u011funda g\u00f6rece iyi bir noktada olundu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Reel kesimin bor\u00e7 \u00e7evirme oran\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksektir”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, reel sekt\u00f6rde nispeten daha y\u00fcksek oranlar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ederek, \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“\u015eirketlerimizin mali durumlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar bu alan\u0131 daha iyi anlamak i\u00e7in \u00f6nem arz ediyor. \u015eunu da belirtmeliyim ki reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn bor\u00e7lu olmas\u0131 salt olumsuz bir durum de\u011fildir. Kald\u0131 ki reel kesimin bor\u00e7 \u00e7evirme oran\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksektir. T\u00fcrkiye gibi gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfuslu, y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyeline sahip ancak yeterli tasarrufa sahip olmayan \u00fclkelerde \u00fcretim, ihracat ve yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n finansman\u0131 i\u00e7in bor\u00e7lanma normal bir durumdur. Bu borcun verimli \u015firketlere ve ihracattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 destekleyen, ithalat\u0131 azalt\u0131c\u0131, istihdama destek verici alanlara y\u00f6nelmesini \u00f6nemsiyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6zetle, \u00fclkelerin mevcut yap\u0131lar\u0131 ve k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131klar\u0131 ile salg\u0131n s\u00fcrecinde uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 politikalar\u0131n ekonomik performanslar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir belirleyici oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bununla birlikte vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden artmas\u0131na sebep olan vir\u00fcs varyantlar\u0131, salg\u0131n\u0131n seyri konusundaki belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede yeni bir salg\u0131n dalgas\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye, Almanya ile beraber \u0130ngiltere ve ABD gibi \u00fclkelerden daha iyi performans g\u00f6stererek vaka say\u0131lar\u0131 nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. T\u00fcm merkez bankalar\u0131 gibi salg\u0131n\u0131n seyrine dair geli\u015fmeleri ve k\u00fcresel ekonomiye etkilerini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, T\u00fcrkiye’nin a\u015f\u0131lama konusunda \u00e7ok ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 bir performans sergiledi\u011fini ve a\u015f\u0131lama seviyesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan olumlu ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, yap\u0131lan a\u015f\u0131 miktar\u0131n\u0131n 99 milyonu ge\u00e7ti\u011fini, 50 milyon ki\u015finin en az bir kez a\u015f\u0131lanm\u0131\u015f durumda oldu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u015f\u0131lamadaki bu performans\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131yla, son d\u00f6nemde a\u00e7\u0131lmayla birlikte hareketlilikteki art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen vaka say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyretti\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “Toplum genelinde a\u015f\u0131laman\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131, iktisadi faaliyet, istihdam ve cari dengeyi olumlu etkiliyor.” dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Son \u00e7eyrekte enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz”<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“K\u0131sa vadede enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde etkili olan ge\u00e7ici unsurlar\u0131n etkisini yitirece\u011fini ve son \u00e7eyrekte enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine girece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.” diyen Kavc\u0131\u011flu, “K\u00fcresel merkez bankac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda para politikas\u0131 duru\u015fu belirlenirken, k\u0131sa vadeli ar\u0131zi unsurlardan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6stergeleri esas al\u0131n\u0131r.” \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “T\u00fcrkiye belirgin reel faiz veren \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelmektedir” dedi. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof. Dr. \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, Alman-T\u00fcrk Ticaret ve Sanayi Odas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan “Para Politikas\u0131, Enflasyon ve Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda d\u00fczenlenen hibrit toplant\u0131da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki son d\u00f6nem geli\u015fmelerini de\u011ferlendirdi. AB’nin, T\u00fcrkiye’nin en \u00f6nemli ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m ortaklar\u0131n\u0131n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12791,"featured_media":136424,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[1,37],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nTCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kavc\u0131o\u011flu: "T\u00fcrkiye Belirgin Reel Faiz Veren \u00dclkelerin Ba\u015f\u0131nda Gelmektedir" - The Epoch Times TR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/tcmb-baskani-kavcioglu-turkiye-belirgin-reel-faiz-veren-ulkelerin-basinda-gelmektedir\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kavc\u0131o\u011flu: "T\u00fcrkiye Belirgin Reel Faiz Veren \u00dclkelerin Ba\u015f\u0131nda Gelmektedir" - The Epoch Times TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, “T\u00fcrkiye belirgin reel faiz veren \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelmektedir” dedi. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Prof. Dr. \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, Alman-T\u00fcrk Ticaret ve Sanayi Odas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan “Para Politikas\u0131, Enflasyon ve Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131nda d\u00fczenlenen hibrit toplant\u0131da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisindeki son d\u00f6nem geli\u015fmelerini de\u011ferlendirdi. 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