{"id":145568,"date":"2023-05-30T21:35:12","date_gmt":"2023-05-30T18:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=145568"},"modified":"2023-06-05T14:55:01","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T11:55:01","slug":"tayvan-savasi-yakin-mi-uzmanlar-savas-olasiligi-icin-uc-kosul-oldugunu-soyluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/tayvan-savasi-yakin-mi-uzmanlar-savas-olasiligi-icin-uc-kosul-oldugunu-soyluyor","title":{"rendered":"Tayvan Sava\u015f\u0131 Yak\u0131n m\u0131? Uzmanlar Sava\u015f Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00dc\u00e7 Ko\u015ful Oldu\u011funu S\u00f6yl\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"AT-3
AT-3 tipi Tayvan jetleri, 10 Ekim 2022\u2019de Taipei semalar\u0131nda Tayvan Ulusal G\u00fcn\u00fc\u2019n\u00fc kutluyor. (Foto\u011fraf: Annabelle Chih\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u0130leri teknoloji, demokrasi ve \u00c7in\u2019e kom\u015fu bir cumhuriyet: Tayvan sorunu k\u00fcresel bir problem ve Bat\u0131\u2019daki insanlar bu konunun \u00f6nemini hala kavram\u0131\u015f de\u011filler. \u00c7in\u2019in Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131ya giri\u015fmesi durumunda, bunun d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki yank\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f halen devam ediyor. Oradaki durum da olduk\u00e7a kritik ve global d\u00fcnyada bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke ve insan bu sava\u015ftan etkileniyor. Bir sonraki sava\u015f, Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir. \u00c7in kendi askerini g\u00fcn ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e silahland\u0131r\u0131yor ve ideolojik bir sava\u015fa haz\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in ordusunu hizaya getiriyor. Y\u00fcksek teknoloji adas\u0131 olan Tayvan Cumhuriyeti\u2019ne y\u00f6nelik bir \u00c7in sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6te yandan, ABD ve baz\u0131 Asya-Pasifik Devletleri Tayvan ile yak\u0131nla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu m\u00fcttefikler g\u00f6zda\u011f\u0131 vererek Kom\u00fcnist \u00c7in\u2019in do\u011fusundaki kom\u015fusuna sald\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek istiyorlar. Uzmanlara g\u00f6re Xi Jinping, en az\u0131ndan \u015fu an i\u00e7in Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda bir sava\u015f ba\u015flatmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00dc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli ko\u015ful ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeden, Pekin\u2019in sava\u015f ba\u015flatmas\u0131 olanaks\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte, Avrupa \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 giderek daha fazla \u015f\u00fcphe duymaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cTayvan\u2019a sald\u0131rmaktan sak\u0131n\u0131n\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Art\u0131k Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda \u00c7in r\u00fcyas\u0131 bitti ve ger\u00e7eklerle y\u00fczle\u015fme zaman\u0131 geldi. Avrupa Parlamentosu \u00dcyesi Michael Gahler<\/a> (CDU partisinden), \u00c7in lideri Xi Jinping\u2019i \u201cTayvan\u2019a sald\u0131rmay\u0131 bile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeyin. Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r olabilir\u201d diye uyard\u0131. Muhafazakar Avrupa Halk Partisi (EPP) grubunun d\u0131\u015f politika s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc, Epoch Times\u2019la yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir r\u00f6portajda, \u201cBat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n sadece Putin konusunda \u2018tutarl\u0131 ve birlik i\u00e7inde\u2019 olmas\u0131 yeterli de\u011fil. \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 da ayn\u0131 tutumu sergilemelidir. \u00d6zg\u00fcr d\u00fcnya da, \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 bir mesaj vermeli ve net bir duru\u015f sergilemelidir.\u201d vurgusunda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Micheal Gahler, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019daki sava\u015f\u0131na Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n nas\u0131l tepki verdi\u011fini yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fini ve Xi Jinping\u2019in eninde sonunda Tayvan\u2019\u0131 zorla ele ge\u00e7irmek istedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Gahler, Avrupa Parlamentosu\u2019nda Tayvan Dostluk Grubu\u2019nun ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak, [Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde] stat\u00fckonun korunmas\u0131na kararl\u0131 olduklar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Gahler\u2019e g\u00f6re stat\u00fckonun tek tarafl\u0131 ve \u015fiddet yoluyla de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi asla kabul edilecek bir durum de\u011fil ve as\u0131l mesele bunu \u00f6nlemek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7inliler \u0130\u00e7in Demokrasi<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Kom\u00fcnist rejim i\u00e7in Tayvan meselesi \u00e7e\u015fitli a\u00e7\u0131lardan \u00f6nem arz ediyor. Bunlardan biri, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n rejimin ideolojik \u00f6z imaj\u0131n\u0131 etkiliyor olmas\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Tayvan, \u00d6zg\u00fcr D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n se\u00e7im sistemiyle benzerlik g\u00f6steren ger\u00e7ek bir demokrasi \u00fclkesidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gahler\u2019e g\u00f6re Tayvan, \u00c7in\u2019in hemen yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda olan bir \u00fclke ve benimsedi\u011fi demokratik y\u00f6netim \u015fekliyle Kom\u00fcnist \u00c7in\u2019in tam z\u0131tt\u0131 bir devlete sahip. D\u0131\u015f politika uzmanlar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u201cTayvan Demokratik olarak \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmi\u015f bir \u00c7in toplumu ve elbette Pekin\u2019deki kom\u00fcnistler i\u00e7in bu bir provokasyondur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00c7inlilerden olu\u015fan bir toplumunun, \u00f6zg\u00fcr ve demokratik bir \u015fekilde \u00f6rg\u00fctlenebilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.\u201d Ada cumhuriyetinde insanlar \u201cy\u00fcksek bir hayat standard\u0131na\u201d sahip ve bu da \u00c7in\u2019i rahats\u0131z eden bir ba\u015fka durum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Muhafazakar AB partisinin s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fcne g\u00f6re Avrupa Parlamentosu Tayvan ile serbest ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 ile ilgili bir anla\u015fma yapmal\u0131. AB s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc: \u201cBu \u015fekilde oraya daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131m yapabiliriz ve ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde Tayvan end\u00fcstrisinin de bizimle yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abiliriz. Bu \u015fekilde Tayvan ile hem siyasi, hem de ekonomik olarak daha yak\u0131n ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ba\u011f kurabiliriz\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sava\u015f Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00dc\u00e7 Ko\u015fulu<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Tayvan Japonya \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve ayn\u0131 zamanda Ulusal Chengchi \u00dcniversitesi Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130li\u015fkiler Okulu\u2019nda Profes\u00f6r olan Li Shih-hui Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda olas\u0131 bir sava\u015f i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7 ko\u015fulun \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Profes\u00f6r The Epoch Times\u2019a \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cTayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda bir sava\u015f olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in, \u015fu \u00fc\u00e7 ko\u015ful vard\u0131r: Birinci ko\u015ful, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olmas\u0131. Peki, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kim karar verebilir? Tabii ki, Tayvan halk\u0131. \u0130kinci ko\u015ful, d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin m\u00fcdahale ediyor olmas\u0131 durumu. Fakat d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan kimler m\u00fcdahalede bulunabilir? Evet, bu sadece Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri olabilir. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc ko\u015ful, Tayvan\u2019\u0131n kendi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na karar vermesi veya yabanc\u0131 bir g\u00fcc\u00fcn yard\u0131m ederek m\u00fcdahalesine izin vermesidir. Bu her iki durumda da, Xi Jinping bir sava\u015f ba\u015flatabilir. Yani bu \u00fc\u00e7 ko\u015ful alt\u0131nda \u00c7in\u2019in Tayvan\u2019a sava\u015f a\u00e7mas\u0131 muhtemeldir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Profes\u00f6r Li\u2019ye g\u00f6re Tayvan\u2019\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilan\u0131 kendilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, bir\u00e7ok Tayvanl\u0131 bug\u00fcne kadar sava\u015f\u0131n \u00e7ok yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyordu. Bu ba\u011flamda, 2024 ba\u015flar\u0131nda planlanm\u0131\u015f olan Tayvan cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri de \u00f6nemli rol oynayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015fe g\u00f6re, uluslararas\u0131 toplum daha az iyimser. Bununla birlikte Li Shih-hui\u2019ye g\u00f6re, Japonya veya Avustralya gibi di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin b\u00f6yle bir sald\u0131r\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131nda yapabilece\u011fi hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak g\u00f6r\u00fcnen o ki; \u00c7in, Tayvan konusundaki sald\u0131rgan s\u00f6ylemine ra\u011fmen \u015fu anda bir sald\u0131r\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi Deniz Kuvvetleri Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n eski bir kurmay subay\u0131 olan Yao Cheng, \u00c7ince Epoch Times\u2019la yak\u0131n zamanda bir r\u00f6portaj yapt\u0131. Eski yarbaya g\u00f6re, \u201ck\u00fcresel askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma […] \u015fu anda kritik bir a\u015famada\u201d. \u00c7in, son y\u0131llarda sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ve sava\u015f gemileri kullanarak – hatta Tayvan Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki merkez hatt\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7erek – Tayvan \u00e7evresinde giderek daha fazla askeri tatbikat d\u00fczenledi. Yao \u015fuan i\u00e7in Tayvan\u2019a bir sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmedi\u011fine inan\u0131yor. Yao\u2019ya g\u00f6re \u00f6zellikle silahlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00c7in ordusu haz\u0131r de\u011fil. \u00c7in ordusunun silahlar\u0131n\u0131n bir\u00e7o\u011fu, sava\u015f gemileri ve u\u00e7aklar\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CIA, Xi\u2019nin Hafife Al\u0131nmamas\u0131 Gerekti\u011fi Konusunda Uyard\u0131<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Yak\u0131n zamanlarda Reuters haber ajans\u0131, ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin PDA (Presidential Drawdown Authority) vas\u0131tas\u0131yla, Tayvan\u2019a 500 milyon dolar de\u011ferinde silah yard\u0131m\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi<\/a>. \u00d6nemli bir kurum olan PDA arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esinden insani ama\u00e7lar i\u00e7in ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015f kaynaklar\u0131, h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir \u015fekilde serbest b\u0131rakabilir. ABD Kongresi, PDA vas\u0131tas\u0131yla savunma b\u00fct\u00e7esinden Tayvan\u2019a 1 milyar ABD dolar\u0131na kadar silah yard\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 onaylad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ABD d\u0131\u015f istihbarat \u015fefi Willaim Burns, \u015eubat ay\u0131nda CBS\u2019ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te<\/a>, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u201c\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi ki Xi Jinping Tayvan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 kolay bir zafer elde etmeyecek ve Xi de bunu g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u201d dedi. CIA \u015eefi, Xi\u2019nin Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin\u2019in Ukrayna\u2019da ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip etti\u011fini ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sava\u015f sahas\u0131nda g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi performans kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Buna ra\u011fmen: \u201cBiz C\u0130A olarak, Xi\u2019nin hi\u00e7bir \u015fekilde hafife al\u0131nmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d dedi. Ard\u0131ndan Tayvan ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki bir sava\u015f\u0131n \u00c7in dahil t\u00fcm taraflar i\u00e7in \u2018son derece talihsiz bir durum\u2019 olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131larda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eski ABD Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Robert O\u2019Brien, 12 Nisan 2023\u2019te D\u00fcnya Ekonomi Zirvesi\u2019ndeki bir tart\u0131\u015fmada s\u0131ras\u0131nda, \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi\u2019nin niyetinin sadece Tayvan\u2019\u0131 \u00c7in\u2019e katmak olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, as\u0131l ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck hedefin t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyaya h\u00fckmetmek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemi\u015f ve uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Tayvan meselesi ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131nda ipleri geriyor. Bunun bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmeyece\u011finin, Xi Jinping\u2019in tavr\u0131na ve bu konudaki h\u0131rs\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yazan: Steffen Munter, The Epoch Times Almanya
\u00c7eviren: Evren Durmaz, The Epoch Times T\u00fcrkiye<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130leri teknoloji, demokrasi ve \u00c7in\u2019e kom\u015fu bir cumhuriyet: Tayvan sorunu k\u00fcresel bir problem ve Bat\u0131\u2019daki insanlar bu konunun \u00f6nemini hala kavram\u0131\u015f de\u011filler. \u00c7in\u2019in Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131ya giri\u015fmesi durumunda, bunun d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki yank\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Rusya ile Ukrayna aras\u0131ndaki sava\u015f halen devam ediyor. Oradaki durum da olduk\u00e7a kritik ve global d\u00fcnyada bir\u00e7ok […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2500,"featured_media":145569,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[8,5,8138],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nTayvan Sava\u015f\u0131 Yak\u0131n m\u0131? Uzmanlar Sava\u015f Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00dc\u00e7 Ko\u015ful Oldu\u011funu S\u00f6yl\u00fcyor - The Epoch Times TR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/tayvan-savasi-yakin-mi-uzmanlar-savas-olasiligi-icin-uc-kosul-oldugunu-soyluyor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tayvan Sava\u015f\u0131 Yak\u0131n m\u0131? 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