{"id":147975,"date":"2023-10-25T22:47:15","date_gmt":"2023-10-25T19:47:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=147975"},"modified":"2023-11-22T16:59:41","modified_gmt":"2023-11-22T13:59:41","slug":"meteoroloji-uzmanlari-ve-bilim-insanlari-neden-iklim-acil-durumunun-olmadigini-acikliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/meteoroloji-uzmanlari-ve-bilim-insanlari-neden-iklim-acil-durumunun-olmadigini-acikliyor","title":{"rendered":"Meteoroloji Uzmanlar\u0131 ve Bilim \u0130nsanlar\u0131 Neden \u2018\u0130klim Acil Durumunun Olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019 A\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

1.600’den fazla bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgili profesyonel, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu’nun \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalad\u0131.<\/h2>\n\n\n
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Gen\u00e7 \u00e7evre aktivistleri Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n Melbourne kentinde K\u00fcresel \u0130klim Grevi protesto g\u00f6sterisine kat\u0131l\u0131yor, 20 Mart 2019.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u0130klim acil durumu diye bir \u015fey yok. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n se\u00e7kin tabakas\u0131n\u0131n alarm veren mesajlar\u0131 da tamamen siyasi. 1.808 bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgi sahibi uzman, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu\u2019nun (Global Climate Intelligence Group) \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalarken<\/a> bunlar\u0131 belirttiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bildirge, \u201c\u0130klim bilimi siyasetle bu kadar i\u00e7 i\u00e7e olmamal\u0131, iklim politikalar\u0131 ise daha bilimsel olmal\u0131\u201d diye ba\u015fl\u0131yor. \u201cBilim insanlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmayla ilgili tahminlerindeki belirsizlikleri ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ele almal\u0131, politikac\u0131lar ise siyasi \u00f6nlemlerden bekledikleri faydalar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ger\u00e7ek maliyetleri de tarafs\u0131z bir \u015fekilde hesaplamal\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Grup, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir \u201ciklim g\u00f6zlemcisi\u201d olmak amac\u0131yla fahri jeofizik profes\u00f6r\u00fc Guus Berkhout ve bilim habercisi Marcel Crok taraf\u0131ndan 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda kurulmu\u015ftur. Grubun internet sitesinde<\/a> belirtilen amac\u0131, \u201ciklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin nedenleri ve etkilerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra iklim politikalar\u0131n\u0131n etkileri hakk\u0131nda bilgi ve anlay\u0131\u015f olu\u015fturmakt\u0131r.\u201d Bunu yaparken hem ger\u00e7eklere objektif bir \u015fekilde bak\u0131l\u0131yor, hem de iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve iklim politikalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin bilimsel ara\u015ft\u0131rmalara ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bildirgeyi imzalayanlar aras\u0131nda Nobel \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc sahipleri, teorik fizik\u00e7iler, meteoroloji uzmanlar\u0131, profes\u00f6rler ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki \u00e7evre bilimciler yer al\u0131yor. The Epoch Times imzac\u0131lardan birka\u00e7 ki\u015fiye \u201ciklim acil durumunun\u201d bir sa\u00e7mal\u0131k oldu\u011funu belirten deklarasyonu neden imzalad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 sordu\u011funda hepsi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ayn\u0131 \u015feyi s\u00f6yledi: \u201c\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu do\u011fru\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rutgers \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f makine ve havac\u0131l\u0131k m\u00fchendisli\u011fi profes\u00f6r\u00fc Haym Benaroya<\/a>, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u015f\u00f6yle konu\u015ftu: \u201cBildirgeyi imzalad\u0131m \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc iklimin art\u0131k bilimsel olarak incelendi\u011fine inanm\u0131yorum. Aksine, bir inan\u00e7 meselesi haline geldi.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emekli fizik\u00e7i ve \u201cScience Under Attack (Bilim Sald\u0131r\u0131 Alt\u0131nda)\u201d web sitesi yazar\u0131<\/a> Ralph Alexander, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u201cD\u00fcnya, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 1850\u2019lerde sona ermesinden bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,11 \u00b0C \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131. Ancak gezegenimiz son birka\u00e7 bin y\u0131ld\u0131r bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden \u00e7ok daha s\u0131cak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bu pek acil bir durum, ya da bir kriz te\u015fkil etmiyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOrtalama s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa dair pek \u00e7ok kan\u0131t bulunan d\u00f6nemler var: yakla\u015f\u0131k 1000 y\u0131l\u0131 merkezli, Orta\u00e7a\u011f S\u0131cak D\u00f6nemi, yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 y\u0131l\u0131 merkezli, \u015fimdi \u00e7ok so\u011fuk olan Britanya\u2019da \u00fcz\u00fcm ve turun\u00e7gillerin yeti\u015ftirildi\u011fi Roma S\u0131cak D\u00f6nemi ve son Gen\u00e7 Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 sona erdikten sonra ba\u015flayan Holosen d\u00f6nemi.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130klim acil durumunun, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a \u201ckurgu\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu\u2019nun (Global Climate Intelligence Group) \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni 1.609 bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgili profesyonel imzalad\u0131 (The Epoch Times).<\/em>
Foto\u011fraftaki yaz\u0131lar<\/u>: Solda: D\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi, \u0130klim acil durumu yok, 1609 \u0130mzac\u0131.<\/em>
Sa\u011fda: Bir iklim modelinin sonucuna inanmak, modeli olu\u015fturanlar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na inanmakt\u0131r. Bug\u00fcn, iklim modellerini baz alarak haz\u0131rlanan iklim kararlar\u0131n\u0131n sorunu budur. \u0130klim bilimi, sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 \u00f6zele\u015ftiri yapan bir bilim olmak yerine, inan\u00e7lara dayal\u0131 bir tart\u0131\u015fmaya do\u011fru yozla\u015ft\u0131. Geli\u015fimini tamamlamam\u0131\u015f iklim modellerine olan saf inan\u00e7tan kendimizi kurtarmam\u0131z gerekmez mi?<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli\u2019ne (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change-IPCC) g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n nedeni<\/a>, insan faaliyetleri ve bunun sonucunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan sera gazlar\u0131d\u0131r. IPCC spesifik olarak \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor: atmosferik karbondioksit (CO2) konsantrasyonlar\u0131 1750\u2019de, milyonda 280 par\u00e7a (parts per million-ppm) iken bug\u00fcn bu de\u011fer 420 ppm\u2019dir ve bu durum s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 etkilemektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

IPCC \u201ciklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle ilgili bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131\u201d de\u011ferlendiren BM organ\u0131d\u0131r. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n iklim politikalar\u0131 geli\u015ftirmelerine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak amac\u0131yla 1988 y\u0131l\u0131nda D\u00fcnya Meteoroloji \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc ve BM \u00c7evre Program\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan kuruldu<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teorik fizik\u00e7i ve sertifikal\u0131 meteoroloji dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Edwin Berry \u015funu s\u00f6yledi: IPCC\u2019nin temel teorilerinden bire g\u00f6re, do\u011fal CO2 1750\u2019den bu yana 280 ppm\u2019de sabit kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r ve 140 ppm\u2019lik art\u0131\u015ftan insan eliyle \u00fcretilen CO2 sorumludur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Epoch Times\u2019a verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, bu IPCC teorisine g\u00f6re g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki toplam CO2 seviyesinin y\u00fczde 33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn insan eliyle \u00fcretildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sonu\u00e7 olarak IPCC, s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in insan kaynakl\u0131 CO2\u2019yi azaltmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kanun yap\u0131c\u0131lar ve iklim aktivistleri, d\u00fcnyadaki ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 zorla elektrikli ara\u00e7lara ge\u00e7irmeye, fosil yak\u0131tlardan kurtulmaya ve genel olarak insan kaynakl\u0131 CO2\u2019ye neden olan t\u00fcm faaliyetleri azaltmaya \u00e7abal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Berry\u2019ye g\u00f6re t\u00fcm bu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcler ku\u015fku uyand\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berry \u201cKamuoyu, karbondioksitin atmosfere girip orada \u00f6ylece kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 san\u0131yor\u201d dedi. \u201cSadece atmosferde birikti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Ama \u00f6yle de\u011fil.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Karbon dioksit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yani, karbonun fotosentez ve bitkilerin yenilmesi yoluyla bir karbon deposundan di\u011ferine ge\u00e7mesi ve solunum yoluyla geri \u00e7ekilmesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda, 140 ppm\u2019lik sabit bir seviye i\u00e7in y\u0131lda 40 ppm\u2019lik s\u00fcrekli karbondioksit giri\u015finin gerekli oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc IPCC\u2019ye g\u00f6re karbondioksitin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcresi 3,5 y\u0131ld\u0131r (bu, karbondioksit molek\u00fcllerinin atmosferde yakla\u015f\u0131k 3,5 y\u0131l kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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\u201c280 ppm seviyesi, 80 ppm\u2019lik giri\u015f anlam\u0131na gelir ve bunun iki kat\u0131d\u0131r. Yani insanlar\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi karbondioksitin, toplam\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te biri oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz. IPCC verileri ise: \u2018Hay\u0131r, insan \u00fcretimi karbondioksitten atmosfere giren miktar, toplam karbondioksitin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 5 ila y\u00fczde 7\u2019si kadard\u0131r\u2019 diyor\u2019\u2019 dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu nedenle, atmosfere insan kaynakl\u0131 karbondioksit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n eksikli\u011fini telafi etmek i\u00e7in IPCC, 3,5 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcresi yerine insan \u00fcretimi CO2\u2019in atmosferde y\u00fczlerce hatta binlerce y\u0131l kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berry \u201c[IPCC] insan \u00fcretimi karbondioksitin farkl\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve atmosferden do\u011fal karbondioksit kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 akamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor\u201d dedi. \u201cIPCC bilim insanlar\u0131 milyarlarca dolar harcad\u0131ktan sonra, basit bir soru sormal\u0131yd\u0131lar: \u2018\u0130nsan \u00fcretimi karbondioksit molek\u00fcl\u00fc ile, do\u011fal karbondioksit molek\u00fcl\u00fc tamamen ayn\u0131 m\u0131d\u0131r?\u2019 Cevab\u0131: evet, tabii ki!\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130nsan \u00fcretimi ve do\u011fal CO2 molek\u00fclleri ayn\u0131ysa, d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcreleri de ayn\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Yani onun y\u00fczlerce, hatta binlerce y\u0131l orada kalaca\u011f\u0131 fikri tamamen yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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Berry, bunun CO2 art\u0131\u015f\u0131na insanlar\u0131n de\u011fil do\u011fan\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Sonu\u00e7 olarak insan \u00fcretimi CO2\u2019i azaltma giri\u015fimleri anlams\u0131zd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berry, \u201c\u0130nsan \u00fcretimi CO2’in d\u00fcnyadaki CO2 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi\u011fi inanc\u0131, tarihteki en b\u00fcy\u00fck toplumsal yan\u0131lg\u0131 ve en y\u00fcksek maliyetli sahtek\u00e2rl\u0131k olabilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bir bilimsel y\u00f6ntem ile – yaln\u0131zca verilerin onu desteklemesi ile – bir teorinin y\u00fczde 100 do\u011fru oldu\u011funun kan\u0131tlanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funun kan\u0131tlanabilece\u011fini belirtti. \u00d6rnek olarak Berry, Sir Isaac Newton\u2019un yer\u00e7ekimi yasas\u0131n\u0131n uzun s\u00fcre en \u00f6nde gelen teori oldu\u011funu ancak daha sonra Albert Einstein\u2019\u0131n Newton\u2019un teorisini \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcten bir d\u00fczeltme yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Hamilton, Ontario, Kanada\u2019daki bir \u00e7elik fabrikas\u0131ndan \u00e7evreye yay\u0131lan dumanlar, 3 Kas\u0131m 2013 (Foto\u011fraf: Robbie Vize, Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u201cBilimsel y\u00f6nteme geri d\u00f6nersek: IPCC bir teori \u00f6nerdi ve e\u011fer bunun yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlayabilirsek kazan\u0131r\u0131z. Ben de bu durumda onlar\u0131n teorisinin yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131m\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berry ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 bir ad\u0131m daha ileri g\u00f6t\u00fcrd\u00fc ve IPCC\u2019nin kendi karbon d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc verilerini kullanarak insan \u00fcretimi karbon d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc hesaplad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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IPCC\u2019nin verilerini kullanarak elde edilen sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re do\u011fan\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 390 ppm CO2\u2019den sorumlu oldu\u011funu ve insanlar\u0131n ise 140 ppm\u2019den de\u011fil yaln\u0131zca 30 ppm\u2019den sorumlu oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u015eimdi birisi \u015funu sorabilir: \u2018Peki, IPCC verileri do\u011fru mu?\u2019 Cevab\u0131m \u2018Bilmiyorum\u2019. Ama bilmeme gerek yok \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc IPCC bu verileri d\u00fcnyay\u0131 kand\u0131rmak i\u00e7in kulland\u0131. Ben onlar\u0131n verilerini kullanarak, mant\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermek istedim\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIPCC bilimsel bir organizasyon olarak kurulmad\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u201cHalk\u0131 \u00f6zellikle karbondioksitin sorunlara yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131na ikna etmek i\u00e7in siyasi bir \u00f6rg\u00fct olarak kuruldu\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neden \u201ciklim acil durumu\u201d ilan etme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir bask\u0131 oldu\u011fu soruldu\u011funda Berry, bunun tamamen para ve kontrolle ilgili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBunun tek ger\u00e7ek nedeni bu. \u0130klim a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan acil bir durum yok\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berry, kendi ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131 ve geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi teorileri \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fctmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan meslekta\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131 ve yaz\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 kamuya a\u00e7\u0131k hale<\/a> getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Bilim insanlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n sanayi devrimi \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin 1,5\u00b0C \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini \u00f6neren \u00f6zel raporun kabul edilmesini memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. 6 Ekim 2018,<\/em> Incheon, G\u00fcney Kore (Foto\u011fraf: Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Politika ve \u0130klim Modelleri<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Berry gibi Ralph Alexander da bilimin, bilimsel olmaktan \u00e7ok, politik hale geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cD\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikliminin tehdit alt\u0131nda oldu\u011fu kesinlikle do\u011fru de\u011fil. Bu iddia, bilimsel olmaktan ziyade, politik bir ifadedir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBilim, g\u00f6zlemsel kan\u0131tlar\u0131 mant\u0131kla birle\u015ftirerek, bu kan\u0131tlar\u0131 anlamland\u0131r\u0131r. \u0130nsanlar\u0131n sebep oldu\u011fu CO2 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n artmas\u0131na neden oldu\u011funa dair hemen hemen hi\u00e7 kan\u0131t yok, varsa da \u00e7ok az. \u0130kisi aras\u0131nda bir ba\u011f\u0131nt\u0131 var, ancak bu ba\u011f\u0131nt\u0131, s\u00f6ylendi\u011fi kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc de\u011fil: \u00d6rne\u011fin, D\u00fcnya 1940\u2019tan 1970\u2019e kadar so\u011furken atmosferdeki CO2 seviyesi y\u00fckselmeye devam etti. K\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmayla CO2\u2019i ili\u015fkilendiren tek \u015fey, bilgisayar iklim modelleridir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130klim acil durumunun nedeni olarak neden CO2\u2019nin se\u00e7ildi\u011fi soruldu\u011funda Alexander, bunun 1981\u2019den 2013\u2019e kadar NASA\u2019n\u0131n Goddard Uzay \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn ba\u015fkan\u0131, astrofizik\u00e7i ve ate\u015fli bir \u00e7evreci olan James Hansen\u2019e dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander \u201cHansen ilk bilgisayar iklim modellerinden birini geli\u015ftirdi ve gelecekteki \u0131s\u0131nmaya ili\u015fkin olduk\u00e7a abart\u0131l\u0131 tahminler yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131, ancak bunlar\u0131n hi\u00e7biri ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u201d dedi. \u201cAyr\u0131ca 1986\u2019da bir Senato oturumunda verdi\u011fi ifadenin, insan aktivitelerinden kaynaklanan k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ate\u015fledi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcr.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Kamala Harris, 5 Kas\u0131m 2021\u2019de Greenbelt, Maryland\u2019deki Ulusal Havac\u0131l\u0131k ve Uzay Dairesi (NASA) Goddard Uzay U\u00e7u\u015f Merkezi\u2019nde iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda bir hiperduvar \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini payla\u015f\u0131yor (Foto\u011fraf: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Alexander, Hansen\u2019in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemesine ra\u011fmen, \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n IPCC\u2019nin kurulu\u015funa katk\u0131da bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIPCC g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015fte bilimsel bir kurum. Ancak IPCC bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n bulgular\u0131, hem \u00f6rg\u00fcte h\u00e2kim olan STK b\u00fcrokratlar\u0131 hem de h\u00fck\u00fcmet taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131kl\u0131kla \u00e7arp\u0131t\u0131l\u0131yor ve abart\u0131l\u0131yor\u201d dedi. \u201cB\u00fcrokratlar, birbirini izleyen IPCC raporlar\u0131n\u0131n bilimsel sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n abart\u0131lmas\u0131nda ve resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n duyurulmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol oynad\u0131lar. Nitekim BM genel sekreteri yak\u0131n zamanda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u2018kaynad\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u2019 dair a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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27 Temmuz\u2019da Genel Sekreter Ant\u00f3nio Guterres \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201c\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi kap\u0131da. Bu \u00e7ok korkutucu. Ve bu sadece ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7. K\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma d\u00f6nemi sona erdi; k\u00fcresel kaynama \u00e7a\u011f\u0131 geldi. Hava solunamaz durumda. S\u0131cakl\u0131k dayan\u0131lmaz. Fosil yak\u0131tlardan k\u00e2r etme \u00e7abalar\u0131 ve iklim eylemsizli\u011fi de kabul edilemez d\u00fczeyde.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander, D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131na neyin sebep oldu\u011fu sorusuna d\u00fcr\u00fcst bir cevap olarak, \u201c\u015eu anda bilmiyoruz\u201d demek gerekti\u011fini, ancak bunun bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n bu konuda fikri olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na da gelmedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCO2\u2019nin bir numaral\u0131 su\u00e7lu olma ihtimali \u00e7ok zay\u0131f. CO2 \u015f\u00fcphesiz katk\u0131da bulunuyor, ancak b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla katk\u0131da bulunan bundan ba\u015fka bir\u00e7ok do\u011fal d\u00f6ng\u00fc var\u201d dedi. \u201cBunlar aras\u0131nda g\u00fcne\u015f \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fkenli\u011fi ve okyanus d\u00f6ng\u00fcleri de yer al\u0131yor. Bunlar\u0131n her ikisi de iklim modellerinde g\u00f6z ard\u0131 ediliyor (\u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunlar\u0131 nas\u0131l d\u00e2hil edece\u011fimizi bilmiyoruz) ya da yeterince hesaba kat\u0131lm\u0131yor. \u0130klim aktivistleri aksini s\u00f6ylese de, iklim bilimi h\u00e2l\u00e2 emekleme a\u015famas\u0131nda ve d\u00fcnya iklimi hakk\u0131nda hen\u00fcz anlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z pek \u00e7ok \u015fey var.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6rnek olarak yeni bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma makalesinde, g\u00fcne\u015ften gelen \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131mdaki de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n y\u00fczde 70 ila 80\u2019ine neden olabilece\u011finin tahmin edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu t\u00fcr ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar pek fazla ilgi g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc IPCC, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n nedeninin insan kaynakl\u0131 karbondioksit oldu\u011fu fikrine adanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander bir ba\u015fka ele\u015ftiri olarak \u015fu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi: Huntsville\u2019deki Alabama \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde iklim uzman\u0131, atmosfer bilimleri profes\u00f6r\u00fc ve ayn\u0131 zamanda D\u00fcnya Sistemi Bilim Merkezi (Earth System Science Center) y\u00f6neticisi olan John Christy, iklim modellerinin gelecekteki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 iki veya \u00fc\u00e7 kat abartt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a kan\u0131tlad\u0131<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Roy Spencer, iklim bilimci, eski NASA ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 ve Huntsville\u2019deki Alabama \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin ba\u015f ara\u015ft\u0131rma uzman\u0131 (Foto\u011fraf: drroyspencer ki\u015fisel web sayfas\u0131).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Daha do\u011fru \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcmler bulmak i\u00e7in, Christy ve iklim bilimci, eski NASA ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 ve Huntsville\u2019deki Alabama \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin ba\u015f ara\u015ft\u0131rma uzman\u0131 Roy Spencer, mikrodalga uydu g\u00f6zlemlerini kullanarak bir k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131k veri seti geli\u015ftirdiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spencer ki\u015fisel web sitesinde<\/a>, projelerine 1989\u2019da ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, 1979\u2019a kadar geriye giderek verileri analiz ettiklerini ve k\u00fcresel uydu verilerine g\u00f6re genel olarak 1979\u2019dan bu yana, D\u00fcnya s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde her 10 y\u0131lda 0,13 Santigrat derece artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bulduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander, iklim modellerinin neden bu kadar hatal\u0131 oldu\u011funa ili\u015fkin \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cBilgisayar sim\u00fclasyonlar\u0131, yaln\u0131zca yaz\u0131l\u0131m modelinin \u00fczerine in\u015fa edildi\u011fi varsay\u0131mlar kadar g\u00fcvenilirdir ve iklim modellerinde kullan\u0131lan bir\u00e7ok varsay\u0131m vard\u0131r. Tam olarak anlamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u00fcre\u00e7lerle ilgili varsay\u0131mlar i\u00e7in tahmini de\u011ferler kullan\u0131l\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cB\u00fct\u00fcn bu b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli tahminler, bilim insanlar\u0131 ve m\u00fchendisler taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131kl\u0131kla \u2018ge\u00e7ici fakt\u00f6rler\u2019 olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan, ayarlanabilir say\u0131sal parametreler bi\u00e7iminde modele d\u00e2hil edilmi\u015ftir. \u00dcnl\u00fc matematik\u00e7i John von Neumann bir keresinde \u015f\u00f6yle demi\u015fti: \u2018D\u00f6rt [ayarlanabilir] parametre ile bir fili tan\u0131mlayabilirim ve be\u015f parametreyle onun hortumunu oynatmas\u0131n\u0131 tarif edebilirim\u2019.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Neumann\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6z\u00fc, karma\u015f\u0131k bir modelin bir veri k\u00fcmesine uymas\u0131na \u015fa\u015f\u0131rmamak gerekti\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc yeterli say\u0131daki parametre ile her t\u00fcrl\u00fc veri k\u00fcmesini tan\u0131mlayabilirsiniz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Haym Benaroya, iklim modelleme konusunda Alexander\u2019\u0131n ele\u015ftirisini daha da ileri g\u00f6t\u00fcrerek yineledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Benaroya, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u201cT\u00fcm iklim modellerinin tahminleri yanl\u0131\u015f\u201d dedi. \u201c\u015eunu anlamak gerekir: atmosferin hesaplamal\u0131 modeli, do\u011fas\u0131 gere\u011fi tam de\u011fildir, belirsizdir. Bu, ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n hatas\u0131 de\u011fildir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBu, iklim yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r: kimya, ak\u0131\u015fkanlar mekani\u011fi, \u0131s\u0131 transferi, g\u00fcne\u015f \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n etkileri, D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n etkileri, \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarda \u0131s\u0131 tutabilen okyanuslar\u0131n modellenmesi ve bulutlar\u0131n etkileri. Bilgisayar taraf\u0131ndan analiz edilebilecek bir forma d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f hi\u00e7bir matematiksel model, t\u00fcm bu etkileri hesaba katamaz. Bu etkilerin \u00e7o\u011fu tam olarak anla\u015f\u0131lamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca bu etkilerin birbirleriyle nas\u0131l bir etkile\u015fim i\u00e7inde oldu\u011fu da anla\u015f\u0131lamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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Alman \u0130klim Bilgi \u0130\u015flem Merkezi (Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum – DKRZ), Hamburg, Almanya. DKRZ, y\u00fcksek performansl\u0131 bilgi i\u015flem ve \u00fclkedeki iklim ara\u015ft\u0131rma enstit\u00fcleri i\u00e7in destekleyici hizmetler sa\u011fl\u0131yor (Foto\u011fraf: Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Benaroya, iklimin karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tam olarak anla\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, eldeki verilerin yetersiz oldu\u011funu veya baz\u0131 durumlarda modellemeye uyacak \u015fekilde manip\u00fcle edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130klim felaketinin yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in verilerle oynand\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair \u00e7e\u015fitli raporlar var\u201d dedi. \u201cB\u00fct\u00fcn tahminler yanl\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130klim biliminin siyaset d\u0131\u015f\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorum. \u0130klim politikalar\u0131 bilime dayand\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. Oysa ger\u00e7eklerin de\u011fil, siyasetin devreye girdi\u011fi bir yer haline geldi.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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Neden \u201ciklim acil durumu\u201d ilan etme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir bask\u0131 oldu\u011fu soruldu\u011funda Benaroya, bunun \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7 ve parayla ama ayn\u0131 zamanda daha b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasi g\u00fc\u00e7lerle\u201d ilgili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c[Belki] baz\u0131lar\u0131 end\u00fcstri g\u00fcc\u00fcnden, petrol g\u00fcc\u00fcnden ve teknolojiden nefret ediyor olabilir. Belki baz\u0131lar\u0131 Bat\u0131\u2019dan ya da kapitalizmden nefret ediyordur. Muhtemelen b\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131n rol\u00fc var\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander da bunun g\u00fc\u00e7 ve parayla ilgili oldu\u011fu konusunda Benaroya ile hemfikir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBa\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta anahtar ifade basit\u00e7e \u2018k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma\u2019yd\u0131. Bu \u00e7ok az ilgi uyand\u0131r\u0131nca, birileri bunun yerine \u2018iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi\u2019 ifadesini kullanmak gibi ak\u0131ll\u0131ca bir fikir ortaya att\u0131. Bu ifade bir s\u00fcre olduk\u00e7a etkili oldu, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n iklimi, s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n art\u0131yor ya da azal\u0131yor olu\u015fundan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak, s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fiyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDaha sonra inanmayanlar mesaj\u0131 yine g\u00f6rmezden gelmeye ba\u015flay\u0131nca, mantra \u2018iklim krizi\u2019 oldu. Bu ifade de zamanla mevcut \u2018iklim acil durumu\u2019na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u2018Acil durum\u2019 ifadesinin insanlar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten harekete ge\u00e7irece\u011fi, net s\u0131f\u0131r CO2 ve di\u011fer \u00f6nlemleri desteklemeye ikna edece\u011fi umut ediliyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDi\u011fer bir unsur da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 solun, k\u00f6t\u00fcl\u00fck olarak ve toplumun t\u00fcm sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kapitalist sistemi tamamen y\u0131kma arzusudur. Onlar i\u00e7in iklim krizi veya acil durum, ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in uygun bir ara\u00e7t\u0131r.\u201d Alexander, Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar net s\u0131f\u0131r CO2 hedefiyle ilgili olarak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cBu tam anlam\u0131yla bir zaman ve kaynak israf\u0131d\u0131r ve bir\u00e7ok Bat\u0131 ekonomisini yoksulla\u015ft\u0131rabilir. \u00c7in ve Hindistan her hal\u00fckarda Bat\u0131 ile birlikte hareket etmiyor. Bu da t\u00fcm \u00e7abalar\u0131 anlams\u0131z k\u0131l\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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21 Eyl\u00fcl 2019 Cumartesi, New York\u2019ta d\u00fczenlenen Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Gen\u00e7lik \u0130klim Zirvesi (Foto\u011fraf: <\/em>Stuart Ramson,<\/em> Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Yoksulluk ve Toplum Sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7evre eti\u011fi uzman\u0131, Cornwall Yarat\u0131l\u0131\u015f Y\u00f6netimi \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019n\u0131n<\/a> (Cornwall Alliance for the Stewardship of Creation) kurucusu ve ulusal s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc olan Calvin Beisner, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin \u00e7o\u011funa insanlar\u0131n de\u011fil do\u011fan\u0131n neden oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yor. Fosil yak\u0131tlardan yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7erek CO2\u2019i azaltma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n, insanlar\u0131 d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 yoksullu\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Epoch Times\u2019a konu\u015fan Beisner, ABD Senatosu ve Temsilciler Meclisi komiteleri \u00f6n\u00fcnde verdi\u011fi ifade hakk\u0131nda \u201cKongre komitelerine, insan faaliyetlerinden kaynaklanan k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma miktar\u0131n\u0131n, insan refah\u0131 \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir etki yaratacak kadar az oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledim\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAncak bu \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in k\u00f6m\u00fcrden, petrolden ve do\u011fal gazdan r\u00fczg\u00e2ra, g\u00fcne\u015fe ve di\u011fer benzer yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ge\u00e7i\u015fi zorlamak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n her yerinde yoksulluktan kurtulma s\u00fcrecini yava\u015flatacak, durduracak veya tersine \u00e7evirecektir. Ve yoksulluk, insan sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ya\u015fam\u0131 i\u00e7in iklimle ilgili herhangi bir riskten \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir risktir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beisner, insanlar\u0131n zenginli\u011fe sahip olduklar\u0131nda \u201cKuzey Kutup Dairesi\u2019nden Sahra \u00c7\u00f6l\u00fc\u2019ne ve Brezilya ya\u011fmur ormanlar\u0131na kadar her iklimde\u201d ge\u00e7inebileceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ancak insanlar g\u00fcnde birka\u00e7 dolarla hayatta kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131nda \u2018en iyi tropik cennette bile\u2019 ge\u00e7inemezler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

K\u0131smen ucuz fosil yak\u0131tlara ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak sa\u011flanan ekonomik kalk\u0131nman\u0131n, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri gibi \u00fclkelerde de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli insanlar\u0131n ge\u00e7inmesine olanak sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ancak \u015fimdi, Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar CO2\u2019i net olarak s\u0131f\u0131ra indirme \u00e7abas\u0131yla geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler, Sahra-alt\u0131 Afrika ile Asya\u2019n\u0131n baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgeleri ve Latin Amerika\u2019daki \u00fclkelere \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor: \u201cBat\u0131\u2019y\u0131 yoksulluktan kurtaran, fosil yak\u0131tlardan elde edilen bol, uygun fiyatl\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenilir enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7in. Kendinizi da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k, pahal\u0131, de\u011fi\u015fken, r\u00fczg\u00e2r ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi kullan\u0131m\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rarak, yoksulluktan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flat\u0131n\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beisner \u201cBu, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kendi ideolojisini di\u011ferlerine dayatmas\u0131d\u0131r\u201d dedi. \u201cVe bu etik a\u00e7\u0131dan da kabul edilemez. \u0130lerici veya akla dayal\u0131 ideolojileri benimseyen ve bu nedenle ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki s\u00f6m\u00fcrgecili\u011fi k\u0131nama e\u011filiminde olan bu kadar \u00e7ok \u00e7evrecinin, \u015fimdi bu yeni-s\u00f6m\u00fcrgeci hareketi benimsemesi, olduk\u00e7a ironik.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alexander gibi, Beisner de Christy\u2019nin yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 D\u00fcnya k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilerine i\u015faret ederek \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cD\u00fcnya daha \u00f6nce bir buzul \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndan ge\u00e7ti. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 1350 ila 1850 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir buzul \u00e7a\u011f\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cUydu verilerinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na kat\u0131l\u0131yorum. Uydu kay\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 1979\u2019dan bu yana k\u00fcresel ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 on y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,13 santigrat derece olmu\u015ftur. Bu, y\u00fczy\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3 dereceye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelir. Yani bu kesinlikle, insanl\u0131k i\u00e7in bir felakete neden olmayacak.\u201d \u0130klim acil durumu ilan etme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerini \u015f\u00f6yle a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131: \u201cVicdan sahibi olmayan politikac\u0131lar, halk\u0131 kriz veya acil durumla korkutarak, h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn giderek artmas\u0131n\u0131 hakl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar. Bug\u00fcn Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen politikac\u0131lar\u0131 kendilerini halk\u0131n iyili\u011fine adamaktan ziyade, g\u00fcce sahip olmak \u00e7abas\u0131ndalar.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n

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Hava Durumu ve Felaket Tellall\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Meteoroloji alan\u0131nda fahri profes\u00f6r ve Massachusetts Teknoloji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019nde otomotiv i\u015fletmecili\u011fi profes\u00f6r\u00fc olan Richard Lindzen, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cArtan s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n d\u00fcnya i\u00e7in \u2018varolu\u015funu etkileyecek bir tehdit\u2019 oldu\u011fu iddias\u0131, \u2018tamamen politik bir ifade\u2019 dir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc IPCC bile ortada varolu\u015fsal bir tehdit oldu\u011funu iddia etmiyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindzen, IPCC\u2019nin varolu\u015fsal bir tehdit oldu\u011funu iddia eden, ancak hi\u00e7bir zaman bu iddiay\u0131 dile getirmeyen bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131 ve iklim aktivistlerini referans ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Bilim hi\u00e7bir zaman bir iklim acil durumunun var oldu\u011funu \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmedi.<\/p>\nRichard Lindzen, profes\u00f6r, Massachusetts Teknoloji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u201c[\u0130klim] modelleri bile bunu \u00f6ng\u00f6rmedi \u201c dedi. \u201cIPCC\u2019nin bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, bunun asl\u0131nda siyasi bir mesele oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011finden kaynaklan\u0131yor. Ve bu i\u015fin i\u00e7inde olan politikac\u0131lar, histerilerini en y\u00fcksek seviyede tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar. K\u00fcresel ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 iklim ko\u015fullar\u0131na do\u011fru y\u00fckseltmeye devam ediyorlar. Ve biliyorsunuz, s\u00fcrekli ayn\u0131 \u015feyi tekrar ediyorlar. \u2018Endi\u015felenin, endi\u015felenin! Panikleyin!\u2019 Ancak bilim hi\u00e7bir zaman bir iklim acil durumunun var oldu\u011funu \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmedi.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cCO2\u2019in k\u00f6t\u00fc adam oldu\u011funa ve varolu\u015fsal bir tehditle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fumuza inan\u0131yorsan\u0131z, net s\u0131f\u0131r CO2, yanl\u0131\u015f bir politikad\u0131r. Yap\u0131lan her \u015fey – elektrikli arabalar sa\u00e7mal\u0131k. CO2\u2019in nas\u0131l davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131na bak\u0131n. \u015eu ana kadar trilyonlar harcad\u0131k, zerre kadar de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla y\u00fckselmeye devam ediyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Milano\u2019da park halindeki ortak kullan\u0131ma a\u00e7\u0131k elektrikli arabalar (Foto\u011fraf: Daniel Case, Wikimedia)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u201cPolitikalar\u0131n tek amac\u0131 toplumu daha fakir hale getirmektir. Ve e\u011fer daha fakirseniz, daha az diren\u00e7li olursunuz. Yani CO2\u2019in varolu\u015fsal bir tehdit oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yorsan\u0131z ve politikalar\u0131n\u0131z bunu \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapm\u0131yor ancak sizi daha az diren\u00e7li hale getiriyorsa, \u015funu sormak gerekir: Patolojik bir sadist misiniz?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindzen, D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n k\u00fcresel oldu\u011funu ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 20.000 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki Son Buzul \u00c7a\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fck iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin sera etkisinden (\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya y\u00fczeyine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan) kaynaklanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, tropik b\u00f6lgelerle kutuplar aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131cakl\u0131k fark\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 meydana geldi\u011fini unutmamak gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hava durumu haritalar\u0131nda bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya do\u011fru ilerleyen dalga benzeri hareketlerin, \u0131s\u0131y\u0131 tropik b\u00f6lgelerden kutuplara aktaran ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131m hareketleri oldu\u011funu anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00fcrecin bir tencere suyu \u0131s\u0131tmaya benzer oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klayarak, \u201cTa\u015f\u0131n\u0131m hareketleri belirli bir s\u0131cakl\u0131k da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 olu\u015funcaya kadar devam eder\u201d dedi. Kaynayan suyun hareketi, tencerenin \u0131s\u0131nan alt k\u0131sm\u0131 ile \u00fcstteki su aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131cakl\u0131k fark\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

G\u00fcne\u015f, D\u00fcnya y\u00fczeyine \u00e7arpt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ekvatora dik gelirken kutuplarda y\u00fczeye te\u011fet ge\u00e7er. B\u00f6ylece suyun tenceredeki s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 dengelemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi D\u00fcnya atmosferindeki hava da benzer bir harekette bulunur. Temel olarak \u0131s\u0131y\u0131 dalgalar halinde da\u011f\u0131tarak ekvator ile kutuplar aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 e\u015fitlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Biz bunu hava ko\u015fullar\u0131 ya da hava durumu olarak adland\u0131r\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tasman Buzulu G\u00f6l\u00fc\u2019nde y\u00fczen b\u00fcy\u00fck buzda\u011f\u0131<\/em>. Tasman G\u00f6l\u00fc, Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n G\u00fcney Alpleri\u2019ndeki Tasman Buzulu\u2019nun yak\u0131n zamanda geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle olu\u015fan bir proglacial g\u00f6ld\u00fcr.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u201cTropik b\u00f6lgelerle kutuplar aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131cakl\u0131k farklar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fine dair hi\u00e7bir kan\u0131t yok. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte b\u00fcy\u00fck iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine neden olan \u015fey buydu. G\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz de\u011fi\u015fiklikler minimum d\u00fczeyde ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tropik ku\u015faklardan kaynaklan\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindzen de di\u011ferleri gibi, \u201ciklim acil durumu\u201d ilan etme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n bilimle de\u011fil, para ve g\u00fc\u00e7le ilgili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPolitikac\u0131lar\u0131n bir t\u00fcr psikolojik bozukluk i\u00e7erisinde olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n merak edilmesi gerekiyor\u201d dedi. \u201cBelki bu yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n nedeni bazen bir \u00e7e\u015fit nevrozdur. Ama bence siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcn \u00e7ekicili\u011finin ne kadar kar\u015f\u0131 konulamaz oldu\u011funu normal insanlar anlayamaz.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hava durumu tahmin hizmeti WeatherBell\u2019in ba\u015f meteoroloji uzman\u0131 Joe Bastardi, havan\u0131n s\u00fcrekli olarak dengeye veya \u201cdinamik kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa\u201d ula\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ancak Lindzen\u2019den farkl\u0131 olarak Bastardi, jeotermal etkiler nedeniyle s\u0131cakl\u0131kta hafif bir art\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu savunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bastardi, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cJeolojik zaman \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011finde, iklim acil durumu de\u011fil, iklim optimumu diyebilece\u011finiz bir durumday\u0131z. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu t\u00fcr bir \u0131s\u0131nma birka\u00e7 kez oldu ve gezegendeki ya\u015fam yine de geli\u015fti. Tahminimce ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n sebebi okyanuslar\u0131n \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131yd\u0131. Ve san\u0131r\u0131m okyanuslar da su alt\u0131 volkanik faaliyetlerin artmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teorisinin m\u00fckemmel bir \u00f6rne\u011fi olarak su alt\u0131 yanarda\u011f\u0131 Hunga Tonga\u2019n\u0131n 2022\u2019deki patlamas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Patlama s\u0131ras\u0131nda 58.000 y\u00fczme havuzuna e\u015fde\u011fer miktarda suyun, buharla\u015farak stratosfere ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ve 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde havan\u0131n ortalamadan daha s\u0131cak olmas\u0131na neden oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Tonga\u2019daki Hunga Tonga deniz alt\u0131 volkan\u0131n\u0131n 15 Ocak 2022\u2019deki patlamas\u0131n\u0131n Himawari-8 uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri (Foto\u011fraf: Japonya Meteoroloji Ajans\u0131, Wikimedia)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

\u201cJeotermal aktivitedeki art\u0131\u015flar, deniz y\u00fczeyi s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015flara \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck ediyor\u201d dedi. \u201cSu buhar\u0131 bir numaral\u0131 sera gaz\u0131d\u0131r. Yani e\u011fer okyanuslar \u0131s\u0131n\u0131rsa, havadaki su buhar\u0131 miktar\u0131 artar. Sonu\u00e7 olarak hava \u0131s\u0131n\u0131r ve bu \u0131s\u0131nma \u00e7o\u011funlukla ekvatordan uzakta meydana gelir. Bu da ba\u015fka bir ipucudur \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc havan\u0131n en so\u011fuk ve kuru oldu\u011fu yerde meydana gelir. Su buhar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131cakl\u0131k \u00fczerinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiye sahip oldu\u011fu yer buras\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bastardi dinamik denge fikrine geri d\u00f6nerek, s\u0131cakl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri meydana geldi\u011finde atmosferin \u201ckar\u015f\u0131 koydu\u011funu\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBurada en b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131rr\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yorum – ve bunu yaln\u0131zca kas\u0131rgalar\u0131 takip eden bir meteoroloji uzman\u0131 anlayabilir – 1990\u2019larda iklim aktivistlerinin \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u0131cak nokta kapanlar\u0131 tropik b\u00f6lgelerde asla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131. \u00c7ok farkl\u0131 bir tepki g\u00f6sterdiler ve Kuzey Kutbu\u2019nun \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fcler. Bu, atmosferin s\u0131cakl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimlerine tepki g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bastardi \u201cbu k\u0131\u015f\u0131n, \u00e7ok \u00e7ok so\u011fuk ve \u00e7ok \u00e7ok f\u0131rt\u0131nal\u0131\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cKuzey Kutbu\u2019nda \u0131s\u0131nma varsa, \u0131s\u0131nmaya do\u011fal bir tepki [so\u011fuma] olacakt\u0131r. Okyanus \u0131s\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu b\u00fcy\u00fck El Ni\u00f1o\u2019lar\u0131n s\u00f6nmesi gerekiyor. S\u00f6n\u00fcp gittiklerinde, bu \u00e7ok g\u00fczel olacak. Yani s\u0131cakl\u0131klardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan b\u00fcy\u00fck El Ni\u00f1o\u2019larla ili\u015fkili bir fonksiyon olarak g\u00f6rebilirsiniz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u0131cakl\u0131k jeotermal aktiviteler nedeniyle art\u0131yorsa bunun insan faaliyetlerinden kaynaklanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar net s\u0131f\u0131r CO2 hedefinin anlams\u0131z oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u201cBenim kanaatime g\u00f6re bu insanlar, iklim ve hava ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan tamamen farkl\u0131 bir nedenle bu iklim acil durumunu \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyorlar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Lise \u00f6\u011frencileri K\u00fcresel \u0130klim Grevi 2019\u2019da pankart ta\u015f\u0131yor. Melbourne, Avustralya, 15 Mart 2019 (Foto\u011fraf: Julian Meehan, Wikimedia)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Hik\u00e2yenin Sorgulanmas\u0131 Gerek<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Uzay i\u00e7in tasarlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir binalarla tan\u0131nan bir mimar ve Houston \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nde profes\u00f6r olan Larry Bell, The Epoch Times\u2019a \u201c\u0130klim, iklimi etkileyen bir s\u00fcr\u00fc parametrenin bir bile\u015fimidir\u201d dedi. \u201c\u0130klimi modellemek zordur, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc farkl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin tamam\u0131n\u0131n onu etkileme oranlar\u0131n\u0131 bilmiyoruz.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBaz\u0131 parametreler y\u00fczlerce, binlerce, on binlerce y\u0131ld\u0131r de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimler gezegenimizin g\u00fcne\u015f sistemindeki veya galaksi i\u00e7indeki konumuyla ilgili. Atmosferle hi\u00e7bir ilgisi olmayan okyanus de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri – El Ni\u00f1o ve La Ni\u00f1a, g\u00fcne\u015f \u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131m\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimlerin (astrofizi\u011fi ilgilendiren manyetik de\u011fi\u015fiklikler) etkisiyle olu\u015fuyor. Bu y\u00fczden ger\u00e7ekten karma\u015f\u0131k ve iklim bilimi dedi\u011fimiz kavramlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu ileri seviyede uzmanl\u0131k gerektiriyor. \u0130nsanlar bir \u015feyler \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor, ancak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar da birbiriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 de\u011fil.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin jeologlar, iklimin kayalara ve jeolojik olu\u015fumlara yans\u0131yan uzun vadeli etkileriyle ilgilenirken, matematik\u00e7ilerin ve astrofizik\u00e7ilerin iklime farkl\u0131 bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ve sonu\u00e7 olarak bu farkl\u0131 disiplinlerden hi\u00e7birinin iklim davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zd\u00fckleri s\u00f6ylenemez \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u201cak\u0131l ermez derecede karma\u015f\u0131k\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131ndaki olaylar nedeniyle atmosferdeki CO2 miktar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, atmosferdeki so\u011fuman\u0131n sava\u015ftan sonra k\u0131rk y\u0131l boyunca devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bell, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle ilgilenmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle anlatt\u0131: ABD Hava Durumu Uydu Servisi\u2019nin kurucusu Fred Singer, 1979\u2019un ba\u015flar\u0131nda kendisini ofisinde ziyaret etmi\u015f ve uydu hava durumu verilerinin baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 vermedi\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
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Kuzey Amerika\u2019da El Ni\u00f1o olay\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan bir \u00e7izim (Kaynak: Wikimedia)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Bell \u201cHava durumu uydular\u0131n\u0131n \u2018tropik b\u00f6lge troposferi \u00fczerinde var oldu\u011fu tahmin edilen s\u0131cak noktay\u0131\u2019 g\u00f6stermedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130klim modelleri \u00f6nce atmosferin, sonra da d\u00fcnya y\u00fczeyinin \u0131s\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Bu nedenle ekvator \u00fczerinde bir s\u0131cak noktan\u0131n tespit edilebilece\u011fini tahmin ediyorlard\u0131 ama onu bulam\u0131yorlard\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bell, o zamana kadar iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00fczerinde fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fini, ancak y\u0131llar ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e ve bu konuda daha fazla \u015fey duyduk\u00e7a s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fen hik\u00e2yeleri sorgulamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Sonra \u015funlar\u0131 anlatt\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130lk ba\u015fta \u2018buzullar\u0131n s\u0131cak denizlere gelece\u011fi\u2019 ve k\u00fcresel so\u011fuman\u0131n sorun yarataca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015fesi vard\u0131. Ancak 10 y\u0131l sonra bu endi\u015feler \u2018k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma\u2019 korkusuna d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWashington\u2019da k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmayla ilgili bir senato oturumu d\u00fczenlenmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan Timothy Wirth, \u00fcnl\u00fc bir dergiye \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u2018Toplant\u0131y\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n en s\u0131cak g\u00fcn\u00fcne denk gelecek \u015fekilde planlad\u0131k. Toplant\u0131dan \u00f6nceki gece, toplant\u0131 odas\u0131na girip t\u00fcm pencereleri a\u00e7t\u0131k ve klimay\u0131 kapatt\u0131k\u2019.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cJames Hansen<\/a>… NASA\u2019n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olan Uzay Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn ba\u015f\u0131ndayd\u0131. Toplant\u0131da \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve \u015f\u00f6yle dedi: \u2018Gezegen yan\u0131yor ve buna biz sebep oluyoruz!\u2019. Bu da hik\u00e2yenin bir par\u00e7as\u0131yd\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcm bu ye\u015fil enerji olaylar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclmesine bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 olu\u015fturdu.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bell, bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 97\u2019sinin k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmaya insanlar\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu konusunda hemfikir oldu\u011fu iddias\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bilim adamlar\u0131n\u0131n iklimin de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi konusunda hemfikir oldu\u011funu, ancak \u201cacil durum gibi bir \u015fey olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSon k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck buzul \u00e7a\u011f\u0131ndan bu yana iklim aral\u0131klarla \u0131s\u0131n\u0131yor. Ve bu devam edebilir. Ancak New York\u2019ta \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck An\u0131t\u0131\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda sular\u0131n y\u00fckselmedi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcrs\u00fcn\u00fcz. Deniz seviyesi y\u0131llar \u00f6ncesinden kayda de\u011fer \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde farkl\u0131 de\u011fil. Yani bu bir f\u0131kra gibi ama ger\u00e7ek. Bunu g\u00f6zlerinizle g\u00f6rebilirsiniz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bell, iklim alarm\u0131 verenlerin ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ba\u015fka hik\u00e2yeye g\u00f6re, hava ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n kas\u0131rgalar ve atmosferdeki di\u011fer felaketler \u015feklinde giderek daha k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cTek yapmalar\u0131 gereken kay\u0131tlara bakmak. Hay\u0131r, durum giderek k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmiyor! 30\u2019lu y\u0131llarda kas\u0131rga mevsimleri \u00e7ok daha k\u00f6t\u00fcyd\u00fc. Onlar \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131 veya maddi hasar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131yorlar ama bug\u00fcn k\u0131y\u0131larda o zamana g\u00f6re daha fazla insan ya\u015f\u0131yor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ian Kas\u0131rgas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n karaya inmesinin ard\u0131ndan 30 Eyl\u00fcl 2022\u2019de Hava ve Deniz Operasyon ekipleri, Florida k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda etkilenen b\u00f6lgelere m\u00fcdahale ediyor (Foto\u011fraf: Ozzy Trevino, Wikimedia).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Bastardi de Bell\u2019in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frulad\u0131: \u201cKas\u0131rgalar\u0131n kinetik enerjisi azal\u0131yor. Bunu ACE [Accumulated Cyclone Energy-Birikmi\u015f Siklon Enerjisi] endeksiyle g\u00f6rebiliyorsunuz; giderek d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c[\u0130klim alarm\u0131 verenler] ortalama bir insan\u0131n her k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ayr\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnecek ve inceleyecek vakti olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fark\u0131ndalar.. \u00f6zellikle de insanlar\u0131n maa\u015ftan maa\u015fa ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve s\u00fcrekli i\u015flerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu \u00e7a\u011fda.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cS\u0131radan insan, ge\u00e7mi\u015fe g\u00f6re m\u00fclk de\u011ferinin 100 kat daha fazla oldu\u011fu ve enflasyonun tavan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fine bakm\u0131yor. Bug\u00fcn bir kas\u0131rga Fort Myers gibi bir yere ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda veya Myrtle Beach gibi bir yeri vurdu\u011funda, daha \u00f6nce oldu\u011fundan \u00e7ok daha fazla zarar verecektir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130klim alarm\u0131 verenler taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fclen mevcut hik\u00e2yeler hakk\u0131nda kendisini en \u00e7ok neyin endi\u015felendirdi\u011fi soruldu\u011funda Bell \u015fu cevab\u0131 verdi: \u201c\u0130klim histerisinin ve yanl\u0131\u015f bilginin, siyaseti nas\u0131l y\u00f6nlendirdi\u011fini \u00f6nemsiyorum. Ve bu siyaset, ekonomik refah\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 belirleyen temel politikalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 y\u00f6nlendiriyor. ABD\u2019nin savunma uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 onlar belirliyor: Donanmay\u0131 etanolle y\u00f6netmeyece\u011fiz. Hava Kuvvetlerini uzatma kablolar\u0131yla y\u00f6netmeyece\u011fiz. Bu kesinlikle delilik. \u0130nsanlar iklimi bilim olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Hay\u0131r, de\u011fil. Bu, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin \u00f6nemli bir mesnet noktas\u0131d\u0131r, globalizmdir ve ABD\u2019nin lehine de\u011fildir.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u0130klim korkusunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmekten daha etkileyici, daha etkili hi\u00e7bir \u015fey kesinlikle yok.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yazan: <\/em>Katie Spence, The Epoch Times
\u00c7eviren: <\/em>Hatice Atmaca, The Epoch Times T\u00fcrkiye<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

1.600’den fazla bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgili profesyonel, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu’nun \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalad\u0131. \u0130klim acil durumu diye bir \u015fey yok. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n se\u00e7kin tabakas\u0131n\u0131n alarm veren mesajlar\u0131 da tamamen siyasi. 1.808 bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgi sahibi uzman, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu\u2019nun (Global Climate Intelligence Group) \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalarken bunlar\u0131 belirttiler. Bildirge, \u201c\u0130klim bilimi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12379,"featured_media":147976,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[31,5,519],"tags":[8296,8297],"yoast_head":"\nMeteoroloji Uzmanlar\u0131 ve Bilim \u0130nsanlar\u0131 Neden \u2018\u0130klim Acil Durumunun Olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019 A\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor - The Epoch Times TR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/meteoroloji-uzmanlari-ve-bilim-insanlari-neden-iklim-acil-durumunun-olmadigini-acikliyor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Meteoroloji Uzmanlar\u0131 ve Bilim \u0130nsanlar\u0131 Neden \u2018\u0130klim Acil Durumunun Olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u2019 A\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor - The Epoch Times TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"1.600’den fazla bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgili profesyonel, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu’nun \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalad\u0131. \u0130klim acil durumu diye bir \u015fey yok. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n se\u00e7kin tabakas\u0131n\u0131n alarm veren mesajlar\u0131 da tamamen siyasi. 1.808 bilim insan\u0131 ve bilgi sahibi uzman, K\u00fcresel \u0130klim \u0130stihbarat Grubu\u2019nun (Global Climate Intelligence Group) \u201cD\u00fcnya \u0130klim Bildirgesi\u201dni imzalarken bunlar\u0131 belirttiler. 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