{"id":165001,"date":"2026-01-09T15:08:53","date_gmt":"2026-01-09T12:08:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=165001"},"modified":"2026-01-09T15:08:56","modified_gmt":"2026-01-09T12:08:56","slug":"cin-tayvana-saldirirsa-100-000-asker-kayip-verebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cin-tayvana-saldirirsa-100-000-asker-kayip-verebilir","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in Tayvan&#8217;a Sald\u0131r\u0131rsa 100.000 Asker Kay\u0131p Verebilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1080\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/1000031366.webp\" alt=\"\u00c7inli gemiler, 30 Aral\u0131k 2025'te \u00c7in'in do\u011fusundaki Fujian Eyaleti'nde, Tayvan'a en yak\u0131n nokta olan Pingtan Adas\u0131'nda, Halk Kurtulu\u015f Ordusu (PLA) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan askeri tatbikatlar\u0131 denetliyor. (Foto\u011fraf: dek Berry\/AFP via Getty Images)\" class=\"wp-image-165002\" srcset=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/1000031366.webp 1080w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/1000031366-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/1000031366-150x100.webp 150w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/1000031366-768x512.webp 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1080px) 100vw, 1080px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan Tayvan&#8217;a yap\u0131lacak bir sald\u0131r\u0131, 100.000 kay\u0131p ve b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fle sonu\u00e7lanabilir. \u00c7inli gemiler, Halk Kurtulu\u015f Ordusu (PLA) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan askeri tatbikatlar\u0131 denetliyor. 30 Aral\u0131k 2025, Pingtan Adas\u0131. (Foto\u011fraf: The Epoch Times arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla, Adek Berry, AFP &#8211; Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Tayvan\u2019a yap\u0131lacak olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgalde \u00c7in b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar verebilir. Washington merkezli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, bu konuda 5 Ocak\u2019ta bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Olas\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131da \u00c7in\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theepochtimes.com\/china\/taiwan-invasion-could-cost-china-100000-lives-report-5968057\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">100.000 kay\u0131p<\/a> verebilece\u011fini belirtti. Almanya Marshall Vakf\u0131\u2019n\u0131n &#8220;E\u011fer \u00c7in Tayvan&#8217;a Sald\u0131r\u0131rsa&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gmfus.org\/news\/if-china-attacks-taiwan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporu<\/a>, \u00c7in&#8217;in Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 inceliyor. Rapor, olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 iki farkl\u0131 senaryoya g\u00f6re de\u011ferlendiriyor. Bunlar: &#8220;k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma&#8221; ve &#8220;b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sava\u015f&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in, Tayvan\u2019\u0131 kendi topra\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ancak Tayvan, 1949\u2019dan beri ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir y\u00f6netimle varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u00c7in her f\u0131rsatta, Tayvan\u2019\u0131 i\u015fgal etmek i\u00e7in askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc kullanmakla tehdit ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca ABD de Tayvan\u2019\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in 2027 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar sald\u0131rma ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 uyard\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, Tayvan\u2019a yap\u0131lacak b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir i\u015fgalde \u00c7in, deniz yoluyla sald\u0131r\u0131larla ba\u015flamak isteyecek. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, Tayvan ve ABD\u2019nin kar\u015f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla daha karma\u015f\u0131k hale gelebilir. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar, \u00c7in\u2019in a\u011f\u0131r kay\u0131plar vermesine neden olabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in\u2019in bu i\u015fgali, birka\u00e7 ay s\u00fcren yo\u011fun \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarla sonu\u00e7lanabilir. Tayvan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ilerleyen \u00c7in ordusu, bir s\u00fcre sonra geri \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kalabilir. Ancak Tayvan\u2019\u0131n en yak\u0131n iki adas\u0131 olan Kinmen ve Matsu\u2019yu ele ge\u00e7irebilir. Rapora g\u00f6re bu kay\u0131plar, \u00c7in\u2019in askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zay\u0131flatabilir. \u00c7in\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k 100.000 asker kaybetmesi olas\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Tayvan&#8217;\u0131n 50.000 asker, ABD&#8217;nin 5.000 asker ve toplamda 1.000 sivil kaybetmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 var. Ayr\u0131ca Japonya da 1.000 askeri kay\u0131p ve 500 sivil kayb\u0131 verebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rapora G\u00f6re Askeri Kay\u0131plar \u00c7ok B\u00fcy\u00fck Olacak<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7in, bu durumu propaganda yoluyla &#8220;zafer&#8221; olarak sunmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir. Ancak rapora g\u00f6re, askeri kay\u0131plar o kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck olacak ki bu durumu halktan gizlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayacak. \u00c7in h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, askeri liderlere y\u00f6nelik temizlikler yaparak sorumlulu\u011fu \u00fczerlerinden atmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir. Ancak bu da \u00c7in\u2019de bir siyasi karga\u015faya yol a\u00e7abilir. Ayr\u0131ca parti i\u00e7indeki baz\u0131 unsurlar, ulusal onuru kurtarmak i\u00e7in yeni bir liderin desteklenmesini talep edebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f \u00c7in\u2019i ekonomik anlamda y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde etkileyecektir. \u00c7in\u2019in ihracat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ambargo s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. \u00c7in ekonomisi, i\u00e7 talebin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yat\u0131r\u0131m balonunun patlamas\u0131 nedeniyle zaten zor durumda. \u00c7in para birimi olan yuan, ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybedebilir. Bu durum, \u00c7in\u2019in enerji ve hammadde ithalat\u0131n\u0131 daha da zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir. Hong Kong\u2019un, uluslararas\u0131 bir finans merkezi olma rol\u00fc de sona erebilir. \u00c7in, ticaretin engellenmesini \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in Hong Kong\u2019dan sermaye ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 engellemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bunlara ek olarak \u00c7in\u2019in uluslararas\u0131 stat\u00fcs\u00fc de ciddi \u015fekilde sars\u0131labilir. B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sava\u015f, \u00c7in\u2019i diplomatik anlamda savunmaya \u00e7ekebilir. ABD ve m\u00fcttefikleri, \u00c7in ile olan <a href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/tayvan-cin-etkisine-karsi-direnisi-buyutuyor\">diplomatik ili\u015fkilerini<\/a> kesebilir. \u00c7in\u2019in uluslararas\u0131 organizasyonlardaki etkisi zay\u0131flayabilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin, BRICS ve Ku\u015fak ve Yol \u0130nisiyatifi gibi projelerdeki i\u015fbirlikleri azalabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak, \u00c7in Tayvan&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131, \u00fclke i\u00e7in y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir. Bu senaryolar, \u00c7in\u2019in g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ve etkisini ciddi \u015fekilde zay\u0131flatabilir. \u00c7in y\u00f6netiminin, bu riskleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkatli atmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tayvan\u2019a yap\u0131lacak olas\u0131 bir i\u015fgalde \u00c7in b\u00fcy\u00fck kay\u0131plar verebilir. Washington merkezli bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, bu konuda 5 Ocak\u2019ta bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Olas\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131da \u00c7in\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k 100.000 kay\u0131p verebilece\u011fini belirtti. Almanya Marshall Vakf\u0131\u2019n\u0131n &#8220;E\u011fer \u00c7in Tayvan&#8217;a Sald\u0131r\u0131rsa&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporu, \u00c7in&#8217;in Tayvan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 inceliyor. Rapor, olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 iki farkl\u0131 senaryoya g\u00f6re de\u011ferlendiriyor. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13996,"featured_media":165002,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"\u00c7in - sald\u0131r\u0131","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"\u00c7in taraf\u0131ndan Tayvan'a yap\u0131lacak olas\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131, 100.000 kay\u0131p ve b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fle sonu\u00e7lanabilir.","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[8,1,8138],"tags":[407,10369,10368,10359,10367,10370,10366,371,10371,10361],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c7in Tayvan&#039;a Sald\u0131r\u0131rsa 100.000 Asker Kay\u0131p Verebilir - 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