{"id":53065,"date":"2012-01-06T08:03:37","date_gmt":"2012-01-06T05:03:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=53065"},"modified":"2013-03-29T11:23:54","modified_gmt":"2013-03-29T08:23:54","slug":"newyork-times-cin-ekonomisi-bir-sonraki-krizin-kaynagi-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/newyork-times-cin-ekonomisi-bir-sonraki-krizin-kaynagi-olacak","title":{"rendered":"NewYork Times: \u00c7in Ekonomisi Bir Sonraki Krizin Kayna\u011f\u0131 Olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"

‘NewYork Times’a g\u00f6re\u00a0bir sonraki krizin kayna\u011f\u0131: \u00c7in Ekonomisi<\/span><\/h1>\n

\u201cNewYork Time<\/strong>s\u201d gazetesinde Paul Krugman<\/em> taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan bir makalede, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisinin<\/em> y\u00f6n\u00fc ele al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomisi<\/em> olan \u00c7in<\/em><\/a>, 2011<\/em> y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda en fazla s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen \u00fclkeydi. Tahminlere g\u00f6re, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisi<\/strong> hala d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli konular\u0131ndan biri olacak. Amerikan Yoruma<\/a> g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019de durmadan \u015fi\u015fen emlak ve kredi balonu mutlaka patlayacak, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00c7in ekonomisi<\/em> bir sonraki krizin kayna\u011f\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Newyork Times’a g\u00f6re \u00c7in Ekonomisi<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Makalede \u201c\u015e\u00f6yle bir durum d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn:\u00a0son zamanlardaki ekonomik art\u0131\u015f<\/em><\/a> tamam\u0131yla in\u015faat\u00a0sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ya\u015fanan\u00a0bollu\u011fu dayanmaktayd\u0131, bu bollu\u011fun itici g\u00fcc\u00fc ise anormal y\u00fckselen emlak fiyatlar\u0131yd\u0131. Ekonomik\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, bu balon ekonominin \u00e7e\u015fitli\u00a0 \u00f6zelliklerini de beraberinde getirdi. \u00d6rne\u011fin, kredilerde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.\u00a0Ancak art\u0131\u015f\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131\u00a0geleneksel ve normal banka finansman\u0131 yolu ile\u00a0de\u011fil, devlet denetimi ve garantisi alt\u0131nda olmayan\u00a0\u201cG\u00f6lge Bankalar\u201ddan gelmekte. \u015eu anda, bu balon patlamak \u00fczere ve bu nedenle finans ve ekonomik krizden<\/em> <\/a>endi\u015felenmemiz do\u011fal ve mant\u0131kl\u0131\u201d deniyor.<\/p>\n

Makalede ayr\u0131ca\u00a0\u201cBurada anlat\u0131lanlar acaba 1980\u2019lerin sonundaki Japonya m\u0131? Yoksa 2007 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki Amerika m\u0131d\u0131r? Cevap: Hay\u0131r, burada bahsedilen \u00fclke \u00c7in\u2019dir. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin<\/em> herhangi bir risk kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dayanamayaca\u011f\u0131 \u015fu d\u00f6nemde, \u00c7in bir risk fakt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmak \u00fczere\u201d deniyor.<\/p>\n

“Ger\u00e7ek durumu \u00f6\u011frenmek ise olduk\u00e7a zor. En iyisi b\u00fct\u00fcn ekonomik rakamlar\u0131 \u00f6zel bir bilim-kurgu olarak g\u00f6rmek.\u00a0Ancak \u00c7in\u2019deki ekonomik rakamlar daha da bilim-kurguya <\/a>benzemekte. \u00c7in devletinin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rakamlar rahats\u0131z edici \u2013yak\u0131n zamanda yay\u0131nlanan haberlerde b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimler var ve bunlar yeterince b\u00fcy\u00fck tehlike \u00e7anlar\u0131 \u00e7almakta.”<\/p>\n

Durmadan \u015fi\u015fen emlak balonu<\/span><\/h2>\n

Ge\u00e7mi\u015f 10 sene i\u00e7inde, \u00c7in ekonomisinin en dikkat \u00e7eken noktas\u0131 ise\u00a0devaml\u0131 artan aile t\u00fcketiminin ekonomik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n gerisinde kalmas\u0131. \u015eu anda, \u00c7in\u2019deki t\u00fcketim harcamas\u0131 sadece GSY\u0130H\u2019nin %35\u2019ini kapsamakta ve bu sadece Amerika\u2019daki\u00a0oran\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131na yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n

O halde, \u00c7in mallar\u0131<\/a> ve hizmetlerini kim sat\u0131n al\u0131yor? Cevab\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 tabii ki Amerika\u2019d\u0131r<\/a>. T\u00fcketimin, genel ekonomi i\u00e7indeki oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131dan dolay\u0131, \u00c7in verdi\u011fi ticaret fazlas\u0131 ile \u00fcretim sanayinin devam etmesini sa\u011flamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakta ve yat\u0131r\u0131m giderleri GDP\u2019nin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Fakat \u00e7ok\u00a0net bir soru: T\u00fcketim ve ihtiya\u00e7 nispeten zay\u0131f oldu\u011funda, bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 iten g\u00fc\u00e7\u00a0nedir? Cevap: Durmadan \u015fi\u015fen emlak balonudur. 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra, \u00c7in\u2019deki emlak yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n<\/a> GDP\u2019deki oran\u0131 neredeyse bir kat artt\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n art\u0131\u015f pay\u0131n\u0131n %50\u2019sini ge\u00e7ti. Bundan dolay\u0131, art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kalan k\u0131sm\u0131 \u015f\u00fcphesiz in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden kaynaklad\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6yle bir durum, Amerika’n\u0131n Florida eyaletinde\u00a0ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ya\u015fanan duruma \u00e7ok benziyor ve hepimiz\u00a0oradaki emlak balonunun sonunda patlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u00a0hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

Kredi balonu patlamak \u00fczere<\/span><\/h2>\n

Amerika\u2019n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131na benzeyen ba\u015fka bir durum daha var: krediler a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fald\u0131.\u00a0Ancak bunlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 geleneksel bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminden\u00a0gelmemekte. Tamam\u0131yla devletin denetlemedi\u011fi ve garanti vermedi\u011fi finansal sistemden gelmekte. Yine de temel olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fark var: Amerika\u2019daki \u201cG\u00f6lge Bankalar\u201d \u00e7o\u011funlukla Wall Street\u2019teki \u00fcnl\u00fc firmalardan olu\u015fmaktayd\u0131 ama \u00c7in\u2019deki \u201cG\u00f6lge Bankalar\u201d\u0131n\u00a0hemen hemen hepsi yeralt\u0131 bankalar\u0131\u00a0olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Buna ra\u011fmen, ikisinin sonucu da benzer olacak.<\/p>\n

\u015eu anda, bu balon apa\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde patlamak \u00fczere. Bu, \u00c7in ekonomisine ve d\u00fcnya ekonomisine b\u00fcy\u00fck zarar getirmeyecek mi?<\/p>\n

Newyork Times’taki<\/em> makalenin sonunda “\u00c7in ekonomisinin<\/em> durumu ba\u015fka yerlerde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz ekonomik durgunlu\u011fa \u00e7ok benziyor, d\u00fcnya ekonomi sistemi<\/a> Avrupa Bor\u00e7 Krizinden<\/a> dolay\u0131 zaten a\u011f\u0131r yararland\u0131 ve ger\u00e7ekten yeni bir krize dayanma g\u00fcc\u00fc kalmad\u0131” deniyor.<\/p>\n

Orijinal \u00c7ince Haber<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00c7in ikitdar partisi ile ilgili bilgi edininiz :<\/p>\n

\"Dokuz<\/a><\/center><\/p>\n

\u0130lgili Haberler:<\/p>\n

\n

\u0130ngiliz Bas\u0131n\u0131: \u00c7in\u2019deki Krediler Alarm Veriyor<\/a>Artan Risk ile Sermaye \u00c7in\u2019den Geri \u00c7ekiliyor, <\/a><\/p>\n

Yuan Devaml\u0131 De\u011fer Kaybediyor<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00c7in Ekonomisi \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn E\u015fi\u011finde<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019de her \u0130ki Dakikada bir \u0130ntihar Vakas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/a>Antik \u00c7in Takvimi<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

‘NewYork Times’a g\u00f6re\u00a0bir sonraki krizin kayna\u011f\u0131: \u00c7in Ekonomisi \u201cNewYork Times\u201d gazetesinde Paul Krugman taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan bir makalede, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisinin y\u00f6n\u00fc ele al\u0131nd\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomisi olan \u00c7in, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda en fazla s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen \u00fclkeydi. Tahminlere g\u00f6re, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisi hala d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli konular\u0131ndan biri olacak. Amerikan Yoruma […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[8,2044],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nNewYork Times: \u00c7in Ekonomisi Bir Sonraki Krizin Kayna\u011f\u0131 Olacak - The Epoch Times TR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/newyork-times-cin-ekonomisi-bir-sonraki-krizin-kaynagi-olacak\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NewYork Times: \u00c7in Ekonomisi Bir Sonraki Krizin Kayna\u011f\u0131 Olacak - The Epoch Times TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"‘NewYork Times’a g\u00f6re\u00a0bir sonraki krizin kayna\u011f\u0131: \u00c7in Ekonomisi \u201cNewYork Times\u201d gazetesinde Paul Krugman taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan bir makalede, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisinin y\u00f6n\u00fc ele al\u0131nd\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen ekonomisi olan \u00c7in, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda en fazla s\u00f6z\u00fc edilen \u00fclkeydi. Tahminlere g\u00f6re, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00c7in ekonomisi hala d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli konular\u0131ndan biri olacak. Amerikan Yoruma […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/newyork-times-cin-ekonomisi-bir-sonraki-krizin-kaynagi-olacak\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Epoch Times TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theepochtimestr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2012-01-06T05:03:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2013-03-29T08:23:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/\u00c7in-Ekonomisi-NewYork-Times.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"A. 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