{"id":82571,"date":"2015-02-16T18:39:58","date_gmt":"2015-02-16T15:39:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/?p=82571"},"modified":"2015-02-16T18:39:58","modified_gmt":"2015-02-16T15:39:58","slug":"cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in\u2019in Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeleri Korkutucu Bir Tablo \u00c7iziyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_82572\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-82572\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor\/461474916-676x450\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-82572\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-82572\" src=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450.jpg\" alt=\"Bir \u00c7in kargo gemisi 13 Ocak'ta Hamburg liman\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131yor (Joern Pollex \/ AFP \/ Getty Images)\" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450.jpg 500w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450-150x100.jpg 150w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450-292x194.jpg 292w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-82572\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bir \u00c7in kargo gemisi 13 Ocak&#8217;ta Hamburg liman\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131yor (Joern Pollex \/ AFP \/ Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.7 olarak belirledi. Bu oran \u00c7in devleti taraf\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahminlerine g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu tahmin, di\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ekonomik veriler ile birlikte Asya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine ili\u015fkin zor g\u00fcnlerin kap\u0131da oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Son on y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00c7in ekonomisini ara\u015ft\u0131ran Londra merkezli Lombard Street Research, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek reel GSY\u0130H b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.7 olarak tahmin ediyor. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahmini ise y\u00fczde 4.4. Bu oran ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz ay yay\u0131nlanan resmi oran\u0131n 3 puan gerisinde.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Bu rakamlar olduk\u00e7a endi\u015fe verici. \u00c7in Kom\u00fcnist Partisi taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 1990\u2019lardan beri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oran ve 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda rejimin koydu\u011fu %8 ve 2013\u2019te revize edilen %7.3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerinin alt\u0131nda. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131n toplumda huzursuzlu\u011fu art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 ve partinin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc tehdit edece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Lombard Street\u2019den Diana Choyleva \u201cSon \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r, \u00c7in\u2019de end\u00fcstriyel karl\u0131l\u0131k azal\u0131rken, rekor seviyede sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu tehlikeli \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in Pekin\u2019in ekonomiyi desteklemeye ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131 kesindir\u201d \u015feklinde yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131 (PBOC) 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fclkenin ekonomik geni\u015flemesini yapay bir \u015fekilde te\u015fvik eden benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir ekonomik canland\u0131rma program\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131. Altyap\u0131 geli\u015fimini art\u0131rmak ve banka kredilerini te\u015fvik etmek gibi politikalar, \u00c7in&#8217;e ge\u00e7ici ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme sa\u011flad\u0131. Ancak hemen hemen her yerde gayrimenkul ve fiyat balonu yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Lombard Street bunu g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f ve bir\u00e7ok Wall Street \u015firketi gibi \u00c7in\u2019in ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme hikayesinin b\u00fcy\u00fcs\u00fcne kap\u0131lmadan, \u00c7in hakk\u0131nda ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f benimsemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Bor\u00e7 Y\u00fck\u00fc<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00c7in&#8217;deki son zamanlardaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00e7o\u011fu bor\u00e7 ve g\u00f6lge bankac\u0131l\u0131k taraf\u0131ndan finanse edilmektedir. Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 McKinsey &amp; Co bu ay yay\u0131nlanan k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7 raporunda, \u00c7in&#8217;in toplam borcunun 2007 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana d\u00f6rt kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmi\u015ftir. McKinsey\u2019e g\u00f6re \u00c7in\u2019in toplam borcu 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda 7 trilyon dolardan, 2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda 28 trilyon dolara y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00c7in&#8217;in bor\u00e7 y\u00fck\u00fc resmi GSY\u0130H\u2019n\u0131n y\u00fczde 282\u2019si olup, bu oran ABD ve Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bor\u00e7 oran\u0131ndan y\u00fcksektir. Bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkenin borcunu azaltmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde \u00c7in\u2019in borcu her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00c7in&#8217;in y\u00fcksek borcu \u00f6zellikle endi\u015fe verici \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ve yerel y\u00f6netimlerin bilan\u00e7o d\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u015flemlerinin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bir a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">McKinsey raporunda \u201cSon bir y\u0131ld\u0131r, (gayrimenkulde) bir piyasa d\u00fczeltmesi ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130\u015flem hacimleri t\u00fcm \u00c7in\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 10 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve sat\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f envanter her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn art\u0131yor\u201d \u015feklinde yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sorun iki y\u00f6nl\u00fcd\u00fcr. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 bor\u00e7 nedeniyle, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri bile bor\u00e7 de\u011ferlemelerini etkiliyor ve banka bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n\u0131 tahrip ediyor. Bu, 2007 y\u0131l\u0131nda ABD\u2019de ya\u015fanan bor\u00e7 krizi senaryosunun ayn\u0131s\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00c7in&#8217;in GSY\u0130H\u2019n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 15\u2019ini in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc olu\u015fturuyor ve sekt\u00f6r istihdama b\u00fcy\u00fck katk\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Devam etmekte olan ekonomik yava\u015flama, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck firmalar\u0131n batmas\u0131na ve istihdam\u0131n azalmas\u0131na neden olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.7 olarak belirledi. Bu oran \u00c7in devleti taraf\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahminlerine g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu tahmin, di\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ekonomik veriler ile birlikte Asya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine ili\u015fkin zor g\u00fcnlerin kap\u0131da oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Son on y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00c7in ekonomisini ara\u015ft\u0131ran Londra merkezli [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":82572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","_yoast_wpseo_focuskw_text_input":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00c7in\u2019in Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeleri Korkutucu Bir Tablo \u00c7iziyor - The Epoch Times TR<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00c7in\u2019in Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeleri Korkutucu Bir Tablo \u00c7iziyor - The Epoch Times TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi, \u00c7in\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1.7 olarak belirledi. 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Bu oran \u00c7in devleti taraf\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 tahminlerine g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Bu tahmin, di\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ekonomik veriler ile birlikte Asya\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisine ili\u015fkin zor g\u00fcnlerin kap\u0131da oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Son on y\u0131ld\u0131r \u00c7in ekonomisini ara\u015ft\u0131ran Londra merkezli [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor","og_site_name":"The Epoch Times TR","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/theepochtimestr","article_published_time":"2015-02-16T15:39:58+00:00","og_image":[{"width":500,"height":332,"url":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Emel AKAN","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@TheEpochTimesTR","twitter_site":"@TheEpochTimesTR","twitter_misc":{"Yazan:":"Emel AKAN","Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi":"3 dakika"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor"},"author":{"name":"Emel AKAN","@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/#\/schema\/person\/6eb643244a30e5bc1e3f24bb56910e83"},"headline":"\u00c7in\u2019in Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeleri Korkutucu Bir Tablo \u00c7iziyor","datePublished":"2015-02-16T15:39:58+00:00","dateModified":"2015-02-16T15:39:58+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor"},"wordCount":646,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011y\/461474916-676x450.jpg","articleSection":["Taslak'da b\u0131rak"],"inLanguage":"tr","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor","url":"https:\/\/epochtimestr.com\/index.php\/cinin-ekonomik-gostergeleri-korkutucu-bir-tablo-ciziyor","name":"\u00c7in\u2019in Ekonomik G\u00f6stergeleri Korkutucu Bir Tablo \u00c7iziyor - 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